Cesare Prandelli believes Serbia's shock 3-1 defeat at home to Estonia will work against his Italy team in Genoa on Tuesday.
La Nazionale dropped their first Group C points yesterday, when they were held to a 0-0 draw by Northern Ireland in Belfast. However, they remain top of the pool on seven points from three matches due to that shock result in Belgrade, with Estonia now second and just a point off the pace.
Serbia were expected to be Italy's closest competition, and Prandelli reckons their setback will only make them tougher to beat at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris. He also reasoned that the results so far show that no-one can be discounted in the section.
"Estonia were described as a team of semi-amateurs but it's not the case," said Prandelli. "It's a very balanced group and there will be more surprises, such as Estonia's in Serbia. I would have preferred not to play a wounded Serbia. Their defeat will complicate things."
Something else that is troubling Italy is their profligacy in front of goal. Against the Irish they created many chances but failed to score.
While the Italian media has blamed that failure on a lack of quality goal-getters, Prandelli does not agree, even though he has used four different strikers in his four games in charge.
"We need to understand which centre-forward is most suitable to play against each opponent in each match," explained the 53-year-old. "We don't have a centre-forward problem.
"As for the missed chances, sometimes forwards think they've already scored [when the chance arrives], but in these instances you need concentration and you need to be clinical."