Gambia, with zero points from their first two Group C matches here at Nigeria 2009, can afford nothing less than out-and-out victory in their final section match on 31 October in Calabar. Unfortunately for the struggling African champions they will be meeting up with no less than Colombia - the stylish and technical joint leaders of the Group - in their final test at the U.J. Esuene Stadium.
It's a simple equation for Gambia: win their first game at Nigeria 2009 or head for home with broken hearts. For Colombia, who have proved themselves impressive competitors with a draw against fellow section leaders Iran and an opening-day win against the Netherlands, a win would be welcome, but a draw could see them through too.
The Africans have struggled here at the U-17 finals, but they will be bolstered by the return of Buba Sama and Demba Janneh, who both sat out the 2-1 loss to the Netherlands with suspensions for red cards in the opener.
By comparison, the Colombians have been fairly well strolling through their Group C games. After a 2-1 win over the Netherlands in their first match, a sudden downpour derailed their first-half dominance against Iran, forcing a bit of a slog near the end and a 0-0 stalemate. But with players like Stiveen Mendoza, Gustavo Cuellar and Wilson Cuero, the Cafeteros have looked like the best team in the group. Still, with Iran on four points and the Dutch on three, a full haul would be just what coach Ramiro Viafara is looking for on Saturday.
0 - The number of goals that Gambia have scored here in Nigeria from the run of play. The only time they bulged the back of the net was from a spot-kick, expertly taken by Ebrima Bojang in the 21st minute of their game against the Dutch.
"Gambia are a tough team, and they will be pumped up by the fact that they need to win. They will be a little desperate and that kind of desperation can make for a very complicated opponent. Even so, I know the kind of football we can play and for that reason I am confident that we can win the game and go on to win the group." Stiveen Mendoza, Colombia winger
"We are not dead; there is still a chance for us to go through to the second round. It is a slim chance and we know that. However, if we want to have any chance at all we will need to win, and hopefully win big in our last game with Colombia. This will not be easy as they are a very good side, but we will do our all to keep our hopes alive." Tariq Saigy, Gambia coach